Corentin Moutet vs Grigor Dimitrov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Dimitrov has recently managed to win 45.21% of points on his second serve, whereas Moutet has secured 49.32%, making Moutet slightly stronger in this aspect.
• In return games, Dimitrov captures 43.29% of his opponents' second serve points, while Moutet edges ahead with 46.58%.
• The return on first serves sees Dimitrov at 23.56% and Moutet at 28.63%, indicating Moutet's superior performance here as well.
• Under pressure, Dimitrov saves 59.47% of breakpoints, narrowly surpassing Moutet's 58.54%.
• Question: Who has an edge in overall match wins over the past year? Answer: Dimitrov, with a 64% win rate compared to Moutet’s 54.24%.
• Dimitrov excels on indoor hard courts with a 64% win rate, while Moutet prefers clay with the same win percentage.
• Dimitrov has a better performance at a higher competitive level (Masters series) compared to Moutet’s Main tour performance.
• In direct head-to-head matches, Moutet leads, winning 2 out of 2 encounters against Dimitrov.
• Moutet emerged victorious in their last match on hard court at the Murray River Open with a straight-sets win.
• Dimitrov faces stronger competition on average, battling opponents ranked 69.64 compared to Moutet’s 79.69.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Dimitrov has a 69% success rate, offering him a slight edge over Moutet's 58% in such situations.
• Dimitrov's breakpoint conversion rate is 31.52%, slightly higher than Moutet's 29.64%.

Editorial Prediction (July 2, 2025, UTC):

The statistics indicate a closely contested match, with both players showing strengths in various areas. Moutet has an edge in second serve and return game performances, achieving higher percentages in both aspects.

Dimitrov, however, has a solid track record in high-pressure scenarios, with marginally better breakpoint-saving abilities and more experience against higher-ranked opponents.

Moutet's dominance in previous direct encounters cannot be overlooked, giving him psychological leverage. However, Dimitrov's notable deciding set performance and better breakpoint conversion reflect his potential to challenge Moutet significantly.

Considering the factors and recent performances, Moutet holds a slight advantage due to his winning record against Dimitrov and consistency in key areas. Nevertheless, Dimitrov's experience and knack for tight-set victories keep him in contention.

Ultimately, Moutet is favored to win this upcoming matchup due to his stronger recent form and head-to-head success.